Service Plays Wednesday 07/08/09

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Thank you, wilheim..

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, JULY 8


NATIONAL LEAGUE


St. Louis (46-39) at Milwaukee (43-40)


Two teams battling for N.L. Central bragging rights resume their three-game series at Miller Park, with the Cardinals sending out right-hander Todd Wellemeyer (7-7, 5.44 ERA) to face the Brewers and fellow righty Jeff Suppan (5-6, 4.60).


In Tuesday night’s opener, St. Louis rolled to a 5-0 victory, getting a three-run Ryan Ludwick homer in the first inning and 8 1/3 shutout innings from starter Adam Wainwright. The Cardinals have won five of their last six and are on further upswings of 10-4 in division play, 13-5 against right-handed starters and 5-0 against winning teams.


The Brewers have lost five of six and are on a 6-12 skid against right-handed starters, but they’re still on positive runs of 21-10 inside the N.L. Central and 20-8 against winning teams. Also, despite last night’s loss, Milwaukee has gone 11-4 in the last 15 clashes in this rivalry, including 4-2 this year, but the visitor has taken 11 of the last 13 meetings, going 6-1 this season.


St. Louis has won four of its last five behind Wellemeyer, including a 5-2 home victory over San Francisco last Thursday, in which the 30-year-old yielded two runs on seven hits and a walk in 7 1/3 innings while striking out six. Wellemeyer is 3-2 with a 5.60 ERA in six road starts this year, and he’s 1-3 with a 5.59 ERA in 12 career appearances (five starts) against Milwaukee. He’s 1-1 in two starts against the Brewers this year, notching a 3-2 road win on May 27, when he allowed both runs on six hits and a walk in 5 1/3 innings.


Milwaukee has lost three in a row backing Suppan, after a three-game win streak behind the 34-year-old. On Friday at Wrigley Field, he allowed just one run on four hits and two walks but got a no-decision in his team’s 2-1 loss to the Cubs. That followed two losing decisions for Suppan in which he allowed a combined nine runs in 10 2/3 innings (7.59 ERA). Suppan is 1-5 with a 6.08 ERA in seven home starts this season.


Suppan is 7-3 with a solid 3.31 ERA in 13 career starts against St. Louis, including 1-1 this season. He earned a 1-0 road win May 16 before getting tagged for five runs on seven hits and a walk in just 3 1/3 innings of an 8-1 home loss on May 26.


St. Louis is on “under” runs of 10-4 in division contests and 9-4 in Wellemeyer’s last 13 starts, and the under has hit in three of the last four meetings in this rivalry.


ATS ADVANTAGE: ST. LOUIS and UNDER




AMERICAN LEAGUE


Texas (46-36) at L.A. Angels (46-36)


The quest for first place in the A.L. West continues at Angels Stadium, where the hosts send right-hander Ervin Santana (1-4, 7.43) to the mound opposite Rangers right-hander Vicente Padilla (6-4, 4.75) in the final game of a three-game series.


Los Angeles blew a 3-0 lead by giving up six runs in the fifth inning, including an Andruw Jones’ three-run bomb, on the way to an 8-5 loss to Texas Tuesday night. The Angels have still won three of their last four and are on further streaks of 10-4 overall, 6-2 at home and 13-6 against righties.


The Rangers have won six of their last seven overall and are on a 20-8 surge against the A.L. West. Additionally, they have a 6-2 edge over the Angels in the season series, though the first six contests were played in Texas.


Santana has had two stints on the disabled list this year, not pitching his first game until May 14, then going without a start for three weeks before coming back Friday against Baltimore. In that contest, he suffered a 6-4 loss, allowing all six runs (four earned) on eight hits and three walks in five innings. The 26-year-old has allowed four or more earned runs in four of his last five starts.


Santana is 0-2 with a whopping 12.12 ERA in four home starts this year. He’s also 7-5 with a 6.46 ERA in 14 career starts against Texas, though he hasn’t faced the Rangers this season.


Padilla’s last start was June 29 at home against the Angels, and he got lit up for five runs on 10 hits and two walks in five innings of a 5-2 loss. The Rangers had gone 6-2 in Padilla’s previous eight starts, with the 31-year-old going 5-1 with a 2.96 ERA. Padilla is 3-1 with a 3.43 ERA in six road starts this season, and he’s 6-4 with a 4.98 ERA in 14 career appearances (13 starts) against the Halos, including 1-1 this year.


For Texas, the “under” is on runs of 37-16-1 overall, 15-8 on the road, 23-10-1 against righty starters and 21-9-1 versus winning teams, and the under has hit in Padilla’s last five starts overall and nine of his last 11 outings. On the flip side, Los Angeles carries “over” trends of 6-1-1 overall, 11-4-1 at home and 11-3-1 against right-handed starters, and the first two games in this series have topped the posted total.


ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Braves Tuesday night.

Today it's the Diamondbacks. The surplus is 875 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

July 8, 2009

Hondo, fresh off a huge score Monday night in Boston with the A's, came right back last night with the Yankees, whose Minnesota mastery upped the wad to a crisp 325 kubiaks.

Today, he's goadin' Gaudin and the Pods with a 10-unit investment in Arizona.
 

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Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Cleveland at Chicago White Sox

The Tribe look to bounce back from last night's 10-6 loss and take advantage of Chicago's 1-9 record in Jose Contreras' last 10 starts after scoring 5 or more runs in the previous game. Cleveland is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+135). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 8

Game 951-952: Pittsburgh at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.100; Houston (Rodriguez) 16.242
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-160); Over
Game 953-954: Atlanta at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Kawakami) 15.091; Cubs (Hart) 16.305
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); N/A
Game 955-956: Washington at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Detwiler) 16.042; Colorado (De La Rosa) 14.445
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-170); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+160); Under
Game 957-958: San Diego at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Gaudin) 14.356; Arizona (Scherzer) 16.330
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-170); Over
Game 959-960: Florida at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Volstad) 15.396; San Francisco (Sadowski) 17.048
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-135); Over
Game 961-962: Cincinnati at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.088; Philadelphia (Lopez) 15.979
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 10
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-160); Under
Game 963-964: LA Dodgers at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kuroda) 13.995; NY Mets (Perez) 14.110
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Under
Game 965-966: St. Louis at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wellemeyer) 16.089; Milwaukee (Suppan) 14.105
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+110); Under
Game 967-968: Baltimore at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hernandez) 15.054; Seattle (Vargas) 16.467
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-135); Under
Game 969-970: Toronto at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Tallet) 16.362; Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 15.352
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+140); Under
Game 971-972: Kansas City at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 14.543; Detroit (French) 15.725
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+125); Over
Game 973-974: Oakland at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 16.099; Boston (Wakefield) 14.790
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-180); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+170); Under
Game 975-976: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 14.478; White Sox (Contreras) 14.211
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+135); Under
Game 977-978: NY Yankees at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.524; Minnesota (Perkins) 15.040
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-135); Over
Game 979-980: Texas at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Padilla) 15.497; LA Angels (Santana) 17.109
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-130); Under




WNBA Basketball Picks

Chicago at Phoenix

The Sky look to bounce back from last night's loss in Sacramento and build on their 7-1 ATS record in their last 8 games when playing with 0 days of rest. Chicago is the pick (+10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by just 7. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+10 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, JULY 8

Game 601-602: Chicago at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 106.258; Phoenix 113.072
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 180 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 179 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+10 1/2); Over
 

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Arthur Ralph Sports

Free Selection WED

289 - 192 run 60 % 37-21 run here

Houston Astro's
 

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PRIMETIME SPORTS ADVISORS

22 of last 33 in MLB last 4 weeks

Pittsburgh Pirates-Morton vs Houston Astros-Rodriguez R/L -1.5 +139
Event Date: 07/08/2009
Event Time: 02:05 PM EST
Play: Houston Astros-Rodriguez R/L -1.5 +139
Comments: Risking 1.50 to win 2.09
 

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Kosmo

ALL MLB PLAYS LISTED PITCHERS

7-8-09

Boston -1.5 +115 1 unit
Texas +120 1 unit
 

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Free Silver Key Pick for Wednesday ML Baseball

COLORADO De La Rosa -L -165 Over Washington (3:10 et)
 

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Lou Panelli

20* MLB Seattle -135(100 Dime VEGAS KEY INFO)
10* MLB Boston over 9.5
10* MLB Cleveland +130
10* MLB Yankees over 9.5
10* MLB Phillies -150
10* MLB Giants under 8.5
 

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Halfbets

NYY and Twins Under 9.5 –115 for 4 units-

Looking at this matchup I believe we are getting a good line for two hot pitchers in AJ Burnett (7-4 3.83 ERA) vs. Perkins (4-4 4.38 ERA). Perkins since coming off the DL has looked very sharp in those 4 games giving up 8 ER in 27 innings pitched. AJ’s last 4 games he has looked as sharp as he has been all season long giving up 3 ER in 27.1 innings pitched. Perkins struggled big time early this season against the Yankees but that is when he was pitching very bad and I see that is why the line is probably 9.5. The best thing we have going for this play is the Umpire who is Scott Barry and he is 13-4 to the under this season with only 7.83 runs per game average. The Under is 8-2 in the Twins last 10 games overall. The Yankees are on a Under run against lefty starters being 5-1 their last 6 to the under. The Under is 8-2-1 in Burnett last 11 games overall. The Under is also 9-4 in Perkins last 13 starts. I believe we are going to be getting two good starters today with this game going under the total.
 

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Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee won on Tuesday with the Diamondbacks -$160/Padres.

For Wednesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Giants -$140/Marlins.

"Mr Chalk" is 2-0 +$200 for the week and 52-34 -$50 for the MLB season.
 

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Atlanta vs Chicago; 4u

Posted By: Payne Sports
Game Date / Time: July 8th, 2009 - 2:20 PM
This is a Guaranteed Pick on the Money Line for the Full Game.
Last night hit another 5 unit play

I am 6-0 my last 6 in baseball and

am right at 80 percent on year!!


The Bottom Line

Atlanta +104; 4u; Kawakami has been pretty effective and worthy of the hype the last 5 starts. He has become who they thought he would be. The public will be backing Chicago again and the line is begging for the action. Don't be surprised to see this one in a 3+ run win. Kawakami faced the Cubs once this season and was pretty effective, but lacked the runn support early in that game and I expect for him to get it today.
 

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RON RAYMOND’S AL DIVISION GAME OF THE YEAR!


Pick # 1 Toronto Blue Jays / Tampa Bay Rays Over 9.0 -105
 

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John Morrison's pick(s) for July 8th, 2009

(MLB baseball) -> Chicago Cubs -120 {Money Line} Their game is against Atlanta at 2:20 PM E.T.

(MLB baseball) -> Colorado -170 {Money Line} Their game is against Washington at 3:10 E.T.

(MLB baseball) -> San Francisco -135 {Money Line} Their game is against Florida at 3:45 E.T.
 

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Savannah Sports

Premium Picks For The Day

Todays Selections

*MLB Baseball

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

MLB Baseball

3 (***) CWS -132
3 (***) San Francisco -135
 

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Fantasy Sports Gametime


100* Play Houston (-160) over Pittsburgh (TOP MLB PLAY)
Pittsburgh has lost 10 of the last 13 road games as an underdog of +150 to +175
and they have also lost 12 of the last 17 road games when the total posted is
between 8 and 8.5 runs. Pittsburgh has lost 24 of the last 35 games vs.
division opponents and they have also lost 5 consecutive games when their on
base percentage is .300 or worse over the last 5 games. Wandy Rodriguez has won
5 of the last 6 games when pitching on 5 or 6 days of rest and he is also 2-0
over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.70.


100* Play Colorado (-165) over Washington (TOP MLB PLAY)
Washington has lost 21 of the last 25 road games as an underdog of +150 or
higher and they have also lost 16 of the last 22 games vs. left-handed starting
pitchers. Washington has lost 8 of the last 11 games when playing on a
Wednesday and Ross Detwiler is 0-2 in road games this season with an ERA of
8.40. Colorado has won 7 of the last 8 home games as a favorite of -150 to -200
and Jorge De La Rosa is 3-0 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 2.75.


50* Play Kansas City (-130) over Detroit (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Detroit has lost 7 of the last 11 games and they have also lost 18 of the last
27 games as an underdog of +100 or higher. Zack Greinke has won 18 of the last
24 games when the total posted is between 8 and 8.5 runs and he is also 10-4 in
all starts this season with an ERA of 2.00.


50* Play Philadelphia (-150) over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)
Philadelphia has won 4 of the last 5 games and they have also won 33 of the last
44 home games as a favorite of -150 to -175. Rodrigo Lopez has won 8 of the
last 9 home games over the last 3 seasons and he is also 1-0 this season with an
ERA of 2.84. Homer Bailey has lost 10 of the last 11 games and he is also 0-2
vs. Philadelphia over his career with an ERA of 9.00.


WNBA Hoops
100* Play Phoenix (-10) over Chicago (WNBA TOP PLAY)
Chicago has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread and they have also
lost 6 consecutive games against the spread vs. Phoenix. Meanwhile, Phoenix has
won 10 consecutive games as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points and they are
averaging over 95 points a game at home this season.
 

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Wunderdog

-=TOP PLAY=-

Florida Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants

San Francisco Giants -1½+183

The Giants have surprised a lot of folks this season, and their pitching has been outstanding. Their pitching will keep them in the race all season, especially if Ryan Sadowski maintains being a viable option in the rotation, where he has left no arguments otherwise in his first two starts. Sadowski has made two starts and has yet to allow a run, covering 13 innings, and will face a Marlina� lineup that scores -0.7 runs a game less against righthand pitching than they do against southpaws. Chris Volstad has had a miserable year pitching to an ERA of nearly five. He got off to a roaring start, but his last nine outings have produced a 6.27 ERA.

I look for the Giants to tee off on him in this one, and will play them on the runline.
 

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